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Otmane El Rhazi : The Flat Debt Society

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. Below is the October 20th Thoughts from the Frontline, republished in full. International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde says the global economy is facing “the risk of a new mediocre, where growth is low and uneven.”…  Lagarde said Europe’s 18-nation bloc that uses the euro currency – collectively the world’s biggest economy – is facing the “not insignificant” risk of falling back into a recession. (VOA News) Since at least the beginning of 2006, the most asked question I get after a speech is “Do you think we will have inflation or deflation?” In an attempt at humor, my answer has been “Yes.” I go on to try to explain that we are in a deflationary environment, but eventually we will see inflation. When QE1 was announced, there were many pundits (none of the Keynesian variety) who immediately said the risk was for significant inflation, and there were even those (like Peter Schiff) who talked of hyperinflation and the demise of the dollar. Interest rates would rise, and US government bonds would collapse.

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Preparing for a slower China

Economics by Otmane El Rhazi : Overnight data from China showed the economy slowing in the third quarter in year-on-year terms, although not by quite as much as anticipated by the market. Headline GDP increased 7.2% (expected 7.1%), with industrial production for September coming in stronger than expected at 8.0% (expected 7.5%). China needs to slow, because the growth seen in recent years has been built on credit expansion that is now causing problems, but naturally the authorities don’t want to see a slowdown that it too…Regards,Otmane El RhaziBusiness Assets ManagementForex & Equity TradingText/Mobile, +44 7414 782 320 RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

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Otmane El Rhazi : Four Things The Best 401(k) Plans Have In Common

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. When you look at the best 401(k) plans in the country, what do you find?

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Otmane El Rhazi : Is Capitalism's Immune System Strong Enough To Fight Ebola?

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. A look at the wall of worry and a stock recommendation.

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Otmane El Rhazi : The World's 10 Best Governments

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. According to the World Justice Project’s Rule of Law Index, these 10 countries are the most open and accountable to their citizens. Sorry U.S., we’re ranked around number 17.

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Otmane El Rhazi : 3 Stocks To Buy And Profit From Next Cycle Of Market Volatility

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. JPMorgan Chase, Nike, and Pfizer will thrive in the next cycle of market volatility.

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Otmane El Rhazi : Is Secular Stagnation Driving Stocks Down?

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. Why have stocks plunged since early September? In his October 18 New York Times column, 2013 Nobel Prize laureate and Yale economics professor Robert Shiller fingered the “thought virus” of secular stagnation — a long-term, global shift to economic lethargy.

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Higher volatility to remain

Economics by Otmane El Rhazi : We’ve seen an undeniable shift in sentiment over the course of the month. Markets are now a lot more focused on the risk and implications of deflation, rather than looking for more QE from the ECB to support the Eurozone and provide a further boost to sentiment and stocks. Behind this, the dynamics operating on the dollar have also shifted, not least because short-term interest rates in the US have also plummeted and bought into question the efficacy of the Fed ending its tapering program this…Regards,Otmane El RhaziBusiness Assets ManagementForex & Equity TradingText/Mobile, +44 7414 782 320 RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

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Otmane El Rhazi : Governments To Blame For Weak Economic Growth In The West

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. Developed world governments talk about austerity and then increase their budgets. That’s why after trillions of dollars of stimulus, growth in the U.S. and Europe is still extremely weak.

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Otmane El Rhazi : 'Corrected' Stock Market At Crossroads - How To Decide Next Direction

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. It’s time to ignore the buy and sell pronouncements. Uncertainties abound, and the stock market correction has put the technical picture in a new place. Therefore, time is needed for the fundamental picture to become clearer and the market to stabilize.

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Otmane El Rhazi : The Best And Worst States For Retirement Security

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing.

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Otmane El Rhazi : Chinese Multinationals: Ambitious Challengers Taking High Stakes

Otmane El Rhazi from Forbes - Intelligent Investing. Many Chinese businesses want to become global players. Their rapid outward investment is generating great opportunities, but it is much too early to evaluate its success.

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